Wang Yang’s ascension 90% certain

Wang Yang

SCMP says today in its report titled Guangdong party secretary Wang Yang urges reform in late power grab, “Guangdong’s party secretary Wang Yang has made a fresh call for reform in what analysts are describing as a last-ditch attempt to garner support for his ascension to the top ruling body in the National Party Congress.

“Wang, who is widely seen as one of the party’s leading voices for reform, told party officials in Foshan on Tuesday that the drive for change ‘must never stagnate and never stop’, the Southern Metropolis Daily of Guangzhou said yesterday.

“He was talking mainly about market and administrative reforms needed to improve the economy and the investment environment, but also of the need to defuse social conflict that might otherwise escalate into unrest.”

According to SCMP’s leading theory the number of the Politburo Standing Committee will be cut to seven so that Wang cannot be sure he will be promoted into the Committee. In fact, there has not been an authoritative source to support that theory.

Judging by the fact that various elders including Jiang Zemin, Qiao Shi, and Li Peng, have vied with one another to come out into limelight before the leadership reshuffle, there is intensive jostling between various factions. Even nine seats in the Committee are not enough for them, let alone seven.

According to those who invented the theory, the large number of members makes it difficult to make decisions. We all know that in any organisation, a corporation or committee, however large the number of its members, there is no difficulty to make a decision if some of its members control the majority, otherwise, there may be difficulty even if there are as few as three members.

In the past decade, the 9-member Committee has been able to make its decisions smoothly, because Jiang Zemin’s Shanghai faction controls the majority. If Jiang wants to keep his majority, nine will be better than seven as other factions will have four instead of three to be divided among them.

Honestly, I have no insider information on that issue. Even if I have accurate information about that, I do not dare to reveal as betraying the party’s top secret is a serious crime in China. Those who have divulged the information to me will be in great trouble if I am so careless as to reveal it.

I believe Wang Yang’s chance of ascension to the top is very great, as reformers have gained ground after Bo Xilai’s downfall. Wang need not make a useless last-minute effort by giving a speech on reform in a non-important city published by a local instead of a paper that is the party’s mouthpiece.

We all know that the candidates to the Committee are decided internally (neiding in Chinese) based on performance and relationship with those who have the power to make the internal decisions. Last-minute change, if any, can only be effected through heavy lobbying. Wang certainly knows giving a speech in Foshan is entirely useless for that purpose.

However, he knows that if he is able to make great achievements through his reform, he will make great contribution in promoting China’s reform.



Categories: Politics & Law

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3 replies

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  1. Speculation on Party Secretariat member Wang Huning’s promotion « China Daily Mail
  2. China: Wang Yang, the party chief who transformed Guangdong « China Daily Mail
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