Russian expert: China to defeat broke America by 2020

Image: Chinese Guard at Tiananmen Square (Wiki Commons).Russian expert Vassily Kashin foresees a war between the United States and China in the East Pacific within the next six years out of which Beijing will emerge victorious due to America’s inability to fund its expanding empire.

“It’s highly probable that China, after the completion of the current cycle of reforming and rearming its armed forces through 2020, will be capable of defeating US forces and its allies in the course of any local conflict in the east part of the Pacific Ocean,”

writes Kashin in an editorial for the Voice of Russia.

Kashin is Senior Research Fellow at the Moscow-based Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies. The Voice of Russia is an international radio broadcasting service controlled by the Kremlin.

Noting that the US Army’s Air Sea Battle concept is designed to counteract efforts by China and Iran to prevent the build-up of US forces in the eastern Pacific Ocean, Kashin adds that,

“China will be able to launch a massive highly accurate non-nuclear strike against US facilities used by transportation and military infrastructure in the region by reducing abruptly the speed of building up American forces.”

Although such an effort will require a huge outlay by Beijing, Kashin notes that America’s “internal crisis and dearth of funds,” in addition to inferior allies in the region such as Japan and South Korea, will assure military victory for China. European allies will not want to become embroiled, forcing America to “accept defeat,” writes Kashin.

“An attempt to punish China and edge it from occupied positions after a Chinese victory will have already taken place would mean the entering of the lengthy conflict with a great foreign power – for the first time since the Korean War.”

The need to commit more resources to a new region, allied with budgetary problems, will precipitate a weakening of the United States’ military presence in other areas of the world such as the Middle East, causing “significant consequences for global politics and security,” writes Kashin.

Kashin’s dire forecast dovetails with innumerable examples of Beijing’s increasingly aggressive military rhetoric that have emerged in recent weeks.

In October, China sent a surveillance ship to Hawaiian waters for the very first time in an unprecedented move which was described as a provocative retaliation to the U.S. naval presence in the East China Sea.

A lengthy editorial which appeared in Chinese state media last week explained how the Chinese military’s current reformation process was part of a move by President Xi Jinping to prepare the People’s Liberation Army for war in response to US aggression in the Asia-Pacific, developments which have prompted “major changes” in China’s national security situation.

Strident rhetoric about Beijing’s ability to attack US military bases in the Western Pacific, as well as the release of a map showing the locations of major U.S. cities and how they would be affected by a nuclear strike launched from the PLA’s strategic submarine force also turned heads.

Following discussion in the state media about plans to turn the moon into a Star Wars-style “death star” from which the PLA could launch missiles against any target on Earth, a display to promote China’s Jade Rabbit Moon rover also included a background photograph of a mushroom cloud over Europe.

Source: – Russian Expert: China to Defeat Broke America by 2020 

Categories: Defence & Aerospace

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7 replies

  1. Just rubbish. Typical soviet-era russian analyst soon to be retired. World is different now and interconnected. China is making business with rest of the world and becoming prosperous. No need to have wars.


  2. Well it seems the United States is not the only country with idiots that speak out on anything and everything just to have their 15 minutes of fame.


    • It seems it is o.k for any Americans or Westerner to talk about pre-emptive strikes against China or Russia but when the boot is on the other foot, the world’s great power and hegemon and its hangers-on cannot take it.

      If the next world war ever starts, it will be the end of the planet and civilisation as we know it. I think the third world and the rest are willing to test American resolve if its people which comprises less than 5% of the world’s population but consumes more than 25% of its resources, are willing to give it all up, they too will be more than willing to do the same.

      The best course of action is peace for that is the only solution to ensure the continuation of the human species.

      Editor’s note: Wordwarrior5 also uses the name Richseeto, but both come from the same ISP address. Richseeto has been identified as a probable paid contributor, with constant anti-west and pro-China tirades (

      An informative article was written about internet posters displaying such emotive outbursts:



  1. China says it’s massive navy buildup is world’s biggest | China Daily Mail
  2. U.S. – China Security Perceptions Survey; a prelude to the Great War of 2014? | China Daily Mail
  3. China thinks it can defeat America in battle | China Daily Mail
  4. China and the United States are preparing for war | China Daily Mail

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