China is one of three powers in the world, and none can defeat the others alone

US, EU and China

Now, like Cao Cao, the US is too strong for China to fight for superiority with while the EU is also well-established like Sun Quan’s State of Wu that China can use as its ally to counter US threat.. Like Jingzhou and Yizhou, the vast areas in North, Central, East, South and Southeast Asia and Africa can be used by China to set up under its leadership a community of developing countries in Asia and Africa. With that community, China will grow stronger than the US. As a result, the world will be divided into three: the US, EU and and the community of developing countries in Asia and Africa with China as its center..

Avoid Fight for Superiority but Seek Win-Win Cooperation with the US

Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s efforts to please Trump with hospitality and economic concessions clearly indicate China’s desire for mutually beneficial cooperation with the US instead of fighting with the US for superiority.

China’s diplomacy to try to persuade the US to conduct win-win cooperation with China and its patience not to fire the first shot in the face of US provocation in Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea also clearly indicate China’s intention not to fight any war with the US whether trade, tech or hot war..

Alliance with EU

China has made great efforts to conclude its trade deal with EU in time before US new president Biden took office. Biden is now trying hard to draw Europe to US side to contain China but can the US open its market to EU as widely as China? After all, EU is America’s competitor in China’s vast market. US trade and tech wars with China will offer EU the best opportunity to win its competition with the US in China. Therefore, Biden will face lots of resistance at home from EU’s competitors in the US for losses of business opportunities, market shares and jobs to EU. The US is not good at setting up and maintaining friendly relations with its competitors as isolationism and protectionism have been deeply rooted in the US. China, however, has the tradition to pursue harmony, the competition between the US and EU may enable China to win over EU as its ally in countering US trade and tech war attacks.

China understands now that protectionism can only protect backward enterprises. It has to draw in foreign advanced enterprises to compete with Chinese ones in order to urge Chinese enterprises to conscientiously improve themselves to win competition. China knows science and technology are the major factors of the advanced productive force so that the development of advanced productive force requires innovation, creation and market now. China faithfully adhere to the Marxist basic general rule on meeting the requirement of the development of advanced productive force. It knows only by so doing can it successfully develop its economy.

Competition with foreign advanced enterprises will boost innovation and creation in Chinese enterprises to satisfy such requirement. Expansion of China’s vast market will enable advanced productive force to have market for its advanced products. China has full confidence in its scientists and engineers’ talent and diligence and the expansion of its market through encouraging consumption. Moreover, China’s huge market will be very attractive to EU business.

In addition to the trade deal, China supports globalization and fight against global warming along with EU and other counties. That will also facilitate its alliance with EU in countering US hegemony.

China is now conducting its Belt and Route initiative (BRI) in central and eastern Europe, which may make EU members jealous and give the US excuse to blame China for seeking dominance or at least geopolitical influence in Europe. Therefore in carrying out BRI projects, China shall stress that BRI infrastructure projects will facilitate connection between European countries and provide electricity and other facilities for not only Chinese but also EU members’ investment there. As BRI has not been very successful in Europe, it has not hinder China’s conclusion of its trade deal with Europe, but China has to be careful not to upset EU by its BRI projects.

BRI will be elaborated in my book “China Conundrum 3”.

Community of Developing Countries

North Asia, i.e. Russia and Central Asian countries were previously members of the Soviet Union. Russia is anxious to take those Central Asian countries into Russia-led Eurasian Union, an organization for something like the Soviet Union. As a result, there may be competition between China and Russia in setting up the Community of developing countries there. Moreover, Vietnam and India have long been within Russia’s sphere of influence; therefore, alliance with Russia is key to China’s establishment of the community. China has succeeded in forming together with Russia the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) with members including Central Asia, India and Pakistan.

China’s Belt and Road initiative indicates its efforts to win over developing countries in North, Central, South and Southeast Asia, Africa and Latin America for the establishment of the said community. China’s recent success in setting up the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) plus its SCO have made the said community a reality. It is important that RCEP has US major allies Japan and South Korea as its members.

Previously, former US President Obam took the initiative to set up the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) to counter China’s rise. China responded with the establishment of RCEP. RCEP was very difficult to set up especially because RCEP has to take in some important TPP members such as Japan, Australia and Singapore. China is lucky that Trump withdrew from TPP when TPP had already been signed but no yet ratified by US Congress. US withdrawl has turned major TPP members active in setting up RCEP and thus facilitated the establishment of RCEP.

China’s all the above-mentioned activities must be done out of the wisdom learnt from the three-in-one strategy in Chinese history; therefore, I believe that China is adopting the strategy of one in three for its national security under US threat.

China-Russian alliance will be elaborated in my book “China Conundrum 2”.

Source: Tiananmen’s Tremendous Achievements – One in Three Now

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