The conflict is already here. As it seems, China always planned to invade Taiwan and upset the teetering Pacific balance. Myanmar and India won’t have any more. Declassified notes (last week) suggest China was lying about their intentions with Hong… Read More ›

Prelude to Conflict
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, March 16, 2015
A thorough and thoughtful article catches wind, documenting China’s threats against Great Britain over Hong Kong. Based on records declassified in 2013, the Crown wanted independence for Hong Kong long ago, but Beijing threatened invasion. The Hong Kong we know… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, March 9, 2015
China was doing great. They had it “goin’ on”. Then, they made some choices over the last few years. Now, the Pacific region is foreseeably destabilizing. But the least of those concerns, and arguably the most overrated, is the situation… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, March 2, 2015
Taiwan and China are reportedly taking the turn to provoke God. Beijing is turning from Israel and Taiwan will no longer “discriminate” against adultery. Recent history knows that countries that change their policy on Israel get “bad luck”, but fully… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, February 23 | Symphony
Some Muslims wanted attention… They got it. Japan authorised millions in aid to fight terrorism. Myanmar calls on China to help them fight against terrorist attacks, ostensibly being launched from inside China. Beijing may not like being asked to turn… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, February 16
Propaganda turn of the tide. For years, Chinese have attended international circles, promulgated their talking points, and convinced others to unwittingly do the same. But, recent reports explain that having traffic lights and convincing drivers to stop at them are… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, February 9
Three trends spanned the Pacific this week: journalism, entrepreneurs, and 2016 elections. News of ISIS spreads across Asia Pacific, including videos of a man being burned alive. China barks at century-old Taiwanese government leaders about standing up to the young… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, February 2
Hong Kong is back at it, this time marching on local elections. Japan is outraged over Muslims beheading one of their own, Asia is watching. Taiwan’s President is ever less popular and now with more proof than ever. Little news… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, January 26
US Congress questions HK: Beijing vets HK politicians; is HK not China? “Experts” say Washington appeases Beijing, but the big issue: Don’t pee in the international pool, consider HK’s Hague membership. Washington and Beijing have only found excuses to raise… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, January 19
All eyes turn to Tainan, Taiwan. Mayor Lai refuses to attend city council meetings until the investigation of the speaker’s dubious election is resolved. A political opponent holds a sign on the council floor referring to “Emperor Lai”. Beijing’s new… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, January 12
Power shuffling and truth-spinning throughout Asia—heads roll and chests puff-out as waning establishments grab for anything to stay afloat. China bails the floundering Communist oil world then doubles its amphibious infantry without a way to transport them. North Korea issues… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, January 5
When it comes to Chinese-speaking pastors and the Chinese government, the Chinese are very non-communicative. It’s a shame and a sham, literally—a shame because of the “Shame” culture that can’t man-up to face hard talks and a sham because it’s… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, December 29
Taiwan hit headlines again this week. More popular than New York, London, and Paris for New Years Eve. Home to a just-finished military head quarters after an 18-year construction project. An ever unpopular President facing oil-food scandal bribery allegations. And,… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, December 22
China made two well-crafted blunders which Beijing likely considers a success. China called for US arms sales to Taiwan to cease, then Xi went to Macau where democracy supporters could protest him more directly at the second inauguration of Macau’s… Read More ›
Cadence of Conflict: Asia-America, December 15
Hong Kong’s Umbrella movement has completely shifted out of the public eye. Beijing and Hong Kong authorities will likely view this as a victory, while the West and the East Asian region know that steam does not vanish merely because… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, December 1
Taiwan’s landslide election was more historic than the Democrats’ whompping early November. The vote didn’t reject Taiwan’s KMT-Nationalist party as much as it rejected Beijing. One big factor ignored by media: Clearing HK demonstrators in Mong Kong two days before… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, November 17
The week of deliberation, choices, and ring around the rosy. Someone sets an unpopular policy, someone else finds a way around. World leaders came together. Rhetoric repeats, “China can grow; China must learn.” Hong Kong’s Umbrella Movement continues to wane… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, November 10
After political defeat in the US, Obama looks to China. Taiwan’s Ma gets snubbed by China in the shadow of APEC. Hong Kong’s Umbrella Movement inches toward the discovery that they weren’t shaping Beijing policy as much as they have… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, November 3
Disunity delayed Hong Kong’s Umbrella Movement. A policeman turned pro-occupy, then called a retreat, but not after expressing his distaste for a recent swelling arrogance in the Hong Kong police force. And reality sets in that 2017 won’t look how… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, October 20
Paula Bronstein, award-winning photojournalist, was arrested in Mong Kok, HK, for standing on a car to take a photo. Standing on a car, by HK law, is a greater crime than unsheathing a samurai sword in a theater. So, the… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, October 13
Hong Kong police violence was as angering as it was unusual. Hong Kong woke up, then Hong Kongers woke up the world. Beijing will neither listen nor crackdown. Instead, they make fools of themselves. No Tiananmen part deux, condolences to… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, October 6
Last’s week’s misunderstanding quickly transformed to rage with images of police, out of harm’s way, calmly reaching to pepper spray non-threatening bystanders, one at a time. Hong Kongers’ support for Occupy Central soared from “geek” to “peak” within a day…. Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, September 29
Inside Report—Hong Kong has one problem that is unaddressed in the media: Hong Kong can’t and doesn’t have its own military. Military service is the unwritten rule of any democracy. As much as Hong Kong needs freedom, they aren’t big… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, September 22
When Ma stepped on board Taiwan’s frigate and smiled for the camera, he wasn’t smiling for the Taiwanese, he was smiling for Washington. Beijing has harboured too much friendliness with the KMT Nationalists and not enough with Taiwan’s DPP. Washington’s… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, September 15
The main topic in the press, though strange: China vs the Environment. Hong Kong’s democracy movement progresses, their opposition (mostly professors and members of government) also get louder. The US even piped in, stating that they were likely to endorse… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, September 8
The Taiwan military rhetoric of last week was compounded by a food oil scandal affecting many large Taiwan food suppliers. The ultimate effect will hurt the pockets of the de facto pro-Beijing KMT Nationalist party controlling Taiwan. As the spirits… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, September 1
You know that point… where you’ve been trying to persuade a friend to get smart, think about his actions, and change his ways… and you’ve finally convinced him to open his eyes and he sees his situation… but then he… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, August 25
Asia has a bigger problem now: A Beijing spy investigation. This could tip the balance in the US military favor because the Western public doesn’t like Beijing spies. Beijing is unlikely to back down. Even in online gaming, the Chinese… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, August 18
Israel disappeared from Taiwan’s headlines while Iraq takes the new spotlight. It couldn’t last forever and, after more than a month of Taiwan learning about Israel every day, it doesn’t need to continue. China, South Korea, and the US are… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, August 11
“Introspection”- The escalation went underground this week as nations look inside themselves. It all began August 1. A gas line explosion in Taiwan could change politics forever. Earthquake, a factory explosion, protests, and anti-Muslim laws in China. Manila finally jails… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, August 4
Last weeks Prelude article received a stereotypical “seminar” comment sympathetic to media control. The Prelude considered this comment seriously, even after it was censored. Here is the comment, followed by the Prelude’s response: This article is a typical anti-China piece… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, July 28
The snowball has begun. In the past, the escalation might be seen as linear. This week, that changed. Though the curve is slight, it’s clearly curving. Beijing and Hong Kong are mutually paranoid; Beijing is paranoid of the West and… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, July 21
The week of “mixed messages”… Western headlines relating to Southeast Asia were about “helping” Hong Kong, early this week. Thursday, the Pentagon announced that China will join the US and Australia in an infantry exercise this October… mixed messages. Atop… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, July 14
The word for the week is “rhetoric”. There has been a lot of talk and analysis of the situation with China and Southeast Asia. China continues to bully. The US calls for calm. In Asian thinking, China’s aggression is “polite.”… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, July 7
This week’s international smack-talk of China took a more academic tone. China’s evidential first enemy: the global super-giant (little old Taiwan), still not thwarted by the near-2,000 missiles aimed at the island, is appearing in more and more news articles… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, June 30
A Chinese “big wig” visited Taiwan this week, sent from the TAO (Taiwan Affairs Office). The visit met strong opposition. Police were accused of warrantless searches of the protestors. More professors, scholars, political delegates with experience, and former Sunflower leaders… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, June 23
In lieu of Beijing’s diplomatic envoy to Vietnam last week over “oil tensions”, it seems that Beijing may be secretly planning to send many more envoys to many more places over many more “tensions”. According to one wired blogger, “tension”… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, June 16
More “Pacific Mussolini;” China finally makes the first move by appealing to the UN. No one can say there isn’t a Pacific problem any more, and most of the world will blame China. Chinese media: China will challenge the US… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, June 9
China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… Chinese pressure forces minister to change plans …China now controlling flight connections for… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, June 2
China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… An international case seems to be developing, not only against China, but also… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, May 26
Prelude To Conflict China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… Taiwan, Vietnam in discussions over protecting investors …Taiwan-Vietnam relations continue… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, May 19
China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… Amid tensions in S. China Sea, US hosts China army chief Schriver urges… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, May 12
China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… Philippines, US begin war games after Obama pledge The Mystery Shrouding China’s Communist… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, May 5
China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… Trade protest has curbed cross-strait ties: US report North Korea testing engines for… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, April 28
Taiwanese protest leader visits AC; urges vigilance to protect democracy Wei Yang US-Japan treaty applies to islands: Obama KMT legislator Lin calls Japanese stupid, rigid …Pro-China Taiwan controlling faction, KMT, insults US ally over Nuke Plant issue, Fukushima Protests back… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, April 21
China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… TAO rejects renegotiating pact …apparently the Chinese think that negotiating an agreement is… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, April 15
China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… U.S. defense chief gets earful as China visit exposes tensions ‘White Justice Social… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, April 7
China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… China’s plan for global network of surveillance satellites spurred by fruitless search for… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, March 31
China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… The Hidden Agenda of President Ma’s ‘Economics First, Politics Later’ Cross-Strait Policy Explanation… Read More ›
Prelude to Conflict: Asia, March 23
EDITORIAL—China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… State TV says Russia could turn US to ‘radioactive ash’ …Comment about Russia,… Read More ›